Intellectual Thoughts by Sanjay Panda


BASF sells Wibarco to Hansa Chemie

BASF has agreed to sell its Chemische Fabrik Wibarco subsidiary, which had been part of its Performance Chemicals division, to Hansa Chemie International, a Swiss-based holding company with stakes in a number of chemicals companies in Germany, Switzerland and the Netherlands। Terms were not disclosed. Once regulatory approval is granted, the deal should be completed in July.
Wibarco is based at Ibbenbüren, northern Germany, and employs about 80 people, who will all transfer। It mainly produces linear alkylbenzene (LAB), a starting material for linear alkylbenzene sulphonate (LAS), an ingredient in most modern detergents.

BASF explained that it regarded Wibarco as non-strategic, because LAB is not fully integrated into its Verbund concept, although it remains a strong player in detergents and cleaners. Hansa, by contrast, will be able to integrate Ibbenbüren into its surfactants value chain. It will add a new sulphation plant to the 37-year-old LAB facility at the site.

Dow Chemical May Become Takeover Target

Dow Chemical co, may become a takeover target even though Chief Executive Officer Andrew Liveris said he isn't interested in selling the largest U.S. chemical maker. Liveris fired executives Pedro Reinhard and Romeo Kreinberg yesterday for holding unauthorized talks with possible private- equity bidders. Shares of Dow jumped 2 percent yesterday, giving the company a market value of $44.1 billion. Shareholders may be open to a buyout. Dow had gained 8.5 percent in the 12 months before April 8, when the possibility of a buyout was reported in Britain's Sunday Express newspaper, trailing the 16 percent gain for the Standard & Poor's 500 Chemicals Index.
The shares trade at 10.8 times annual earnings, the lowest in the 13-member index, compared with 17 times for DuPont Co. and 37 times for Monsanto Co. Dow's profit excluding items, $3.82 a share last year, may drop to $2 to $3 a share by 2010. Sales totaled $49.1 billion last year.
U.S. buyout firms, including Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., were joining with Middle East investors to prepare a takeover bid of at least $50 billion, according to the Sunday Express. Liveris, dismissed the report at the time, saying Dow had held no merger talks, and the board issued a statement saying it backed the CEO's strategy. The shares rose 4.9 percent nonetheless. The cost of five-year credit-default swaps on Dow debt more than tripled since February on investor expectations of heightened risk. Contracts on $10 million of Dow debt increased $1,000 today to $55,500, close to a two-year high, according to CMA Datavsion. Investors use credit-default swaps as an alternative to bonds to speculate on corporate indebtedness.

Kreinberg, yesterday denied the company's accusations that he held unauthorized talks with banks and foreign governments about a planned takeover, calling the claims unfounded and unsubstantiated.'' Reinhard, 61, was Dow's chief financial officer for 10 years. He said the two men were getting legal advice and declined to comment further.Dow spokesman Chris Huntley, responding to Kreinberg's comment, said, ``We have the information from a highly reliable source that would know what was going on, and who we have absolute confidence in.'' He reiterated Liveris's comments that the company has had no talks to be acquired.

A group of private-equity firms may offer to buy parts of the company, the Financial Times reported on Jan. 19. The stock surged 5.6 percent on March 15 on speculation Dow would combine assets with India's Reliance Industries Ltd. The Times of India said on Feb. 26 that Reliance may bid for Dow.

Dow may attract Middle East bidders that want to diversify away from oil and natural gas, Butler Wick's Batcheller said. The Express reported that at least half the financing for the KKR bid would come from investors in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Oman.

The company's ratio of net debt to capital is 28 percent, a level that adds to its takeover appeal। Even if Dow isn't sold, the company may use the cash to expand production of faster-growing specialty chemicals.Other analysts said a takeover of Dow is unlikely. Goldman Sachs Group analyst Robert Koort said the premium a hostile bidder would need to pay for Dow wouldn't justify the returns, given that chemical profits are in a cyclical decline.

Bloomberg

RBI tigtening monetary policy to contain inflation

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today abandoned its monetary policy stance of equal emphasis on price stability and growth, and decided to remain solely focussed on inflation containment.As part of its further monetary tightening, the central bank raised the cash reserve ratio (CRR) for third time since December 2006 by 50 basis points to 6.50% with effect from April 28 and also raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.75%, the rate at which it lends to banks against securities.“The stance of monetary policy has progressively shifted from an equal emphasis on price stability along with growth, to one of reinforcing price stability with immediate monetary measures, and to take recourse to all possible measures promptly in response to evolving circum stances,”RBI said.
The central bank’s monetary tightening measures came even as the banking system was reeling under severe liquidity strain, with call rates having in recent days shot up to ridiculously high rates of 70-80% and year-on-year inflation at around 6.5% for the third week in succession up to March 17, 2007.Since the February 13 measures, when CRR was raised by 50 basis points, RBI said data has shown that industrial production increased by 11% during April 2006-January 2007 as against 8% a year earlier and the year-on-year money supply (M3) growth up to March 16, 2007 was 22% as against 16.9% a year ago.At a disaggregated level, prices of primary articles, fuel group and manufactured products registered a year-on-year increase of 12%, 1% and 6.6% as on March 17, 2007 as against 3.7%, 8.9% and 1.7% a year ago.The year-on-year growth in non-food bank credit of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) was 29.5% as on March 16, 2007 as against 32.7% a year ago.The third increase in CRR in five months will drain Rs 43,000 crore from the banking system. The RBI has also reduced the interest it will pay on CRR balances 0.50% from 1%.The RBI release issued this evening:In the recent period, monetary policy has been engaged in managing the transition to a higher growth path while ensuring that pressures on actual inflation and inflation expectations are contained. At this juncture, it is important to reinforce the measures already taken for maintaining price stability and anchoring inflation expectations in order to sustain the growth momentum. The role of monetary policy is to maintain stability and so contribute to growth on an enduring basis.As indicated in the Third Quarter Review of the Annual Statement on Monetary Policy for the year 2006-07, "the outlook for inflation assumes criticality in terms of policy monitoring and action" (paragraph 76). Furthermore, "a judicious balancing of weights assigned to monetary policy objectives would accord priority to stability in order to support growth on a sustained basis" (paragraph 82). Accordingly, it is necessary to reinforce the emphasis on price stability and well-anchored inflation expectations, as set out in the stance of the Third Quarter Review, with a demonstrated commitment in terms of credible policy monitoring and actions. The conduct of monetary policy should continue to demonstrate that inflation beyond the tolerance threshold of the Reserve Bank is unacceptable and that the resolve to ensure price stability is always backed by timely and appropriate policy responses.
In recognition of the cumulative and lagged effects of monetary policy, the Reserve Bank began a graduated withdrawal of accommodation in mid-2004. Since September, 2004 repo/reverse repo rates have been increased by 150 basis points each, the CRR has been raised by 100 basis points, risk weights have been raised in the case of housing loans (from 50 per cent to 75 per cent), commercial real estate (from 100 per cent to 150 per cent) and consumer credit (from 100 per cent to 125 per cent) and general provisioning requirement for standard advances in specific sectors has been raised to 1.0 per cent of standard advances. On February 13, 2007 a further two-stage increase of 25 basis points each in the CRR was announced, effective from the fortnights beginning February 17 and March 3, 2007. Liquidity management was modified on March 2, 2007 to put in place an augmented programme of issuance under the market stabilisation scheme (MSS) with a mix of treasury bills and dated securities in a more flexible manner. In view of the enhanced MSS programme and the need to conduct LAF as a facility for equilibrating very short-term mismatches, daily reverse repo absorptions were limited to a maximum of Rs.3,000 crore, effective March 5, 2007. The stance of monetary policy has progressively shifted from an equal emphasis on price stability along with growth to one of reinforcing price stability with immediate monetary measures and to take recourse to all possible measures promptly in response to evolving circumstancesSince the monetary measures that were announced on February 13, 2007 there have been some notable developments, namely,
(a) The general index of industrial production increased by 11.0 per cent during April 2006 to January 2007 as against 8.0 per cent a year ago, as per the release of the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) of March 12, 2007.
(b) Year-on-year inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI), has ruled around 6.5 per cent for the third week in succession up to March 17, 2007 as per the data released today. At a disaggregated level, prices of primary articles, fuel group and manufactured products registered a year-on-year increase of 12.0 per cent, 1.0 per cent and 6.6 per cent as on March 17, 2007 as against 3.7 per cent, 8.9 per cent and 1.7 per cent a year ago.
(c) inflation based on the consumer price index for industrial workers (CPI-IW), urban non-manual employees (CPI-UNME), agricultural labourers (CPI-AL) and rural labourers (CPI-RL) showed year-on-year increase to 7.6 per cent, 7.8 per cent, 9.8 per cent and 9.5 per cent in February 2007, respectively, from 5.0 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 5.0 per cent and 4.7 per cent, a year ago.
(d) The year-on-year growth in non-food bank credit of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) was 29.5 per cent as on March 16, 2007 as against 32.7 per cent a year ago.
(e) The year-on-year growth in aggregate deposits of SCBs was 24.8 per cent as on March 16, 2007, over and above 18.0 per cent a year ago.
(f) The year-on-year money supply (M3) growth up to March 16, 2007 was 22.0 per cent as against 16.9 per cent a year ago.
(g) Continuation of accelerated external inflows has resulted in accretion of US $ 18.6 billion to the foreign exchange reserves, taking their level from US $ 179.1 billion at the end of January, 2007 to US $ 197.7 billion on March 23, 2007.
(h) Additional liquidity amounting to Rs.23,894 crore was absorbed under the market stabilisation scheme (MSS) during February 1 - March 30, 2007.
(i) Globally, the process of withdrawal of accommodation in monetary policy is being vigorously pursued. Since mid-February, 2007 among the leading central banks, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan have raised key policy rates by 25 basis points each, while the People’s Bank of China raised one year lending rates by 27 basis points and the reserve requirements by 50 basis points. There has been no change in the policy rates of the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand all of which had undertaken prior policy action.
In the light of the current macroeconomic, monetary and anticipated liquidity conditions, and with a view to containing inflation expectations, it is critical to take demonstrable and determined action on an urgent basis. Accordingly, the following monetary measures are being taken consistent with the stance of the monetary policy:
i) It has been decided to increase the fixed repo rate under the LAF by 25 basis points from 7.50 per cent to 7.75 per cent with immediate effect.
ii) The other arrangements regarding the operations of LAF announced on March 2, 2007 will continue until further notice.
iii) The policy of withdrawal of semi-durable and durable elements of liquidity through treasury bills and dated securities under MSS will continue. Accordingly, the Reserve Bank would, subject to variations in liquidity conditions, announce auctions of MSS covering issuances of treasury bills and dated securities on a weekly basis. The auction for Treasury bills under MSS would continue to take place by notifying the amounts under MSS every week along with the regular auction calendar as has been the existing practice. The Reserve Bank would retain the flexibility of reviewing the schedule of auctions under the MSS from time to time, in response to evolving circumstances.
iv) The cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs), regional rural banks (RRBs), scheduled co-operative banks and scheduled primary (urban) co-operative banks is being increased by one-half of one percentage point of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) in two stages, effective from the fortnights indicated below:
Effective Date (i.e., the fortnight beginning from)CRR on net demand and time liabilities (per cent)
April 14, 2007 6.25%
April 28, 2007 6.50%
As a result of the above increase in the CRR, an amount of Rs.15,500 crore of resources of banks would be absorbed.v) The interest rate applicable on eligible CRR balances (i.e., the amount of reserves between the statutory minimum CRR and the CRR prescribed by the RBI) shall be reduced to 0.5 per cent per annum from the present 1.0 per cent per annum with effect from the fortnight beginning April 14, 2007.Active monitoring of macroeconomic, overall monetary and liquidity conditions will continue and all monetary policy actions would be considered in response to the evolving situation.
BS