Intellectual Thoughts by Sanjay Panda !!!!!: Indian Rupee sliding.....


Friday, May 11, 2012

Indian Rupee sliding.....

Rupee is under serious pressure.  Dropped from Rs 44 for a dollar in August 2011 to almost 55 in early May 2012 especially the rate of fall , after a pulling back above the Rs 49 mark during Jan-March 2012. The slide perhaps contributed to S& P decision to downgrade India’s outlook and current balance of payment situation. The Current account deficit likely to hit more than 4% of GDP and a worsening trade gap complicating the situation further. The trade gap likely to widen further as one of the biggest forex earner, the IT industry seems to be loosing its shine.

With a high external debt repayment in next several months and possible portfolio outflow, seems we are moving to a crisis situation as far as value of INR is concerned.

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